Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.191612 0.221818 0.257008 0.301475 0.356806 0.424254 5.140562e-01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.157921 0.199240 0.253500 0.332076 0.446731 0.614530 8.926245e-01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.132053 0.177328 0.242343 0.347223 0.522375 0.825597 1.453923e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112178 0.157757 0.227794 0.350866 0.581039 1.044710 2.246275e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096419 0.140398 0.211575 0.345462 0.620644 1.254937 3.303545e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087258 0.131282 0.206154 0.356756 0.697848 1.609109 5.463610e+00
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.077388 0.119166 0.192794 0.348411 0.728120 1.872198 8.068840e+00
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.071084 0.112055 0.186941 0.353633 0.794559 2.319726 1.372542e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.064874 0.104165 0.178082 0.349669 0.835272 2.733795 2.250806e+01
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060810 0.099584 0.174840 0.357824 0.917171 3.453657 4.612517e+01
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057749 0.096437 0.173911 0.371434 1.026607 4.543439 1.238975e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054366 0.092230 0.170008 0.376275 1.110208 5.713905 3.908978e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051569 0.088928 0.167741 0.385715 1.223678 7.548464 3.174266e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048951 0.085694 0.165151 0.393818 1.342071 10.059258 2.879795e+07
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046447 0.082416 0.161956 0.399378 1.457351 13.389200 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043858 0.078685 0.157126 0.398521 1.542860 17.176290 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041160 0.074461 0.150517 0.390115 1.582585 20.754849 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039708 0.072780 0.149999 0.402580 1.764977 31.241125 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037392 0.068992 0.143609 0.392468 1.793400 37.877682 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035950 0.067019 0.141683 0.398463 1.947559 56.486184 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034210 0.064227 0.137240 0.393767 2.019801 75.600250 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.033131 0.062847 0.136427 0.403306 2.228067 130.706925 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.032332 0.062041 0.137080 0.419275 2.528862 285.732346 NaN